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 Message Boards » » Facebook Analysis of Candidates Over Time Page [1] 2, Next  
GeniuSxBoY
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Perhaps you can help with this. All we have to do is post the date and the number of 'likes'
each candidate has.

We may also post BIG events like the CAIN pullout. It would be interesting to see where his 'likes' shift to and whether his 'likes' decrease. Add strikeout to candidate that drop out but continue monitoring his 'likes'.



11/28/2011

Mitt Romney - 1,197,147
Ron Paul - 601,427
Herman Cain - 398,006
Newt Gingrich - 190,607
Michele Bachmann - 272,536
Rick Perry -171,611


CAIN drop out.

12/4/2011


Mitt Romney - 1,205,182
Ron Paul - 608,683
Herman Cain - 397,384
Newt Gingrich - 202,124
Michele Bachmann (4prez) - 458,952; Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 272,429
Rick Perry -171,470


Interestingly enough, it looks like the Cain supporters jumped onto Bachmann.

Michele Bachmann has two pages. Interestingly enough, her likes decreased by 100. I must have not seen the other page when I first submitted the 'likes' on 11/28. A 200,000 jump was just illogical.




[Edited on December 4, 2011 at 2:15 PM. Reason : .]

12/4/2011 2:08:50 PM

MisterGreen
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i dont think this will be very representative of anything, because many people will be slow to unlike particular candidates even after possibly liking a different one

12/4/2011 2:47:09 PM

Chance
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intrade already did it

12/4/2011 2:48:43 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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^so who's the winner?

12/4/2011 3:06:26 PM

Chance
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The fuck you talking about?

12/4/2011 3:51:45 PM

Walter
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this thread is a waste of server space

12/4/2011 4:37:06 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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@chance: Please pay attention to your posts. I believe your question is self explanatory.

Chance: intrade already did it
GeniuSxBoY: so who's the winner?
Chance: The fuck you talking about?


@Walter
Thank you for contributing to this serious thread with such valuable information. I respect your freedom of speech and I can't wait to share my valuable information with you when you decide to create a serious thread, too.



[Edited on December 4, 2011 at 6:59 PM. Reason : .]

12/4/2011 6:52:36 PM

mrfrog

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Chance reminds me of my dog.

12/4/2011 7:06:30 PM

Chance
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You dumb shit, this:

Quote :
"so who's the winner?"


wasn't a valid reply to my comment. Your post is about " Analysis of Candidates Over Time".

Intrade already does this.

12/4/2011 7:40:34 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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So what you're saying is you lack reading comprehension. That's all I needed to know. Thank you for the input that has nothing to do with my thread.

12/4/2011 8:04:31 PM

Chance
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Get the fuck outta here you god damn mouth breathing faggot.

12/4/2011 9:30:12 PM

y0willy0
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wouldnt page up-time make these statistically uninteresting? i havent visited them and dont claim to know anything about them, but havent romney and pauls pages just been around for longer?

*shrug*

12/5/2011 10:52:15 AM

adultswim
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^
The statistic to look at here is the net change over time, in comparison to other candidates.

12/5/2011 10:58:31 AM

GeniuSxBoY
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There's 300,000,000 people in the US yet combined likes, including people that have 'liked' two or more candidates, are only at 2,000,000. As the election approaches, I have a feeling the numbers will sky rocket.
Between now and 10 months from now, a lot is going to change.

12/5/2011 12:41:59 PM

disco_stu
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I'm not sure if "Facebook User" is representative of an American, let alone a voting American. Not everyone uses it, or even uses it enough to know how to like shit.

12/5/2011 1:04:53 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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Okay, that's fair to say.

However, since w know "Facebook users" exist, then what kind of Americas are they compared to "Non-facebook users"?

12/5/2011 1:28:12 PM

pack_bryan
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^true facts all over this thread. we 100% know all facebook users definitely exist and have a human being representing them.



12/5/2011 1:33:02 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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Is that what I typed? I don't think that's what I typed. Try reading again.

12/5/2011 6:42:32 PM

Chance
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Lock this fucking thread.

12/5/2011 7:42:07 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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Perhaps if a moderator existed in this section, they could delete all the hate-rage posts in here. Mainly all the posts by Chance and Walter and pack_bryan.

Not a single on-topic post was made this day by these users.



[Edited on December 5, 2011 at 8:02 PM. Reason : .]

12/5/2011 7:54:57 PM

aimorris
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the % increase in MAD in this thread is off the charts

12/6/2011 8:33:29 AM

kmyoungs
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how many GOP debates does it take to make them all get zero likes?

jw, because all these candidates are increasingly ridiculous every time they are on tv, it is like they are trying to piss people off.

12/6/2011 12:04:00 PM

mrfrog

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Quote :
"^true facts all over this thread. we 100% know all facebook users definitely exist and have a human being representing them. "


Also, 100% of all Facebook users use Facebook.

12/6/2011 12:47:31 PM

disco_stu
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Old people don't use Facebook. Young people don't vote.

12/6/2011 1:07:46 PM

Str8Foolish
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Chance is a 10 year old Xbox-Live user who found his way onto a messageboard

12/6/2011 2:00:04 PM

Chance
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...

12/6/2011 5:29:32 PM

lazarus
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12/7/2011 9:25:14 AM

GeniuSxBoY
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11/28/2011

Mitt Romney - 1,197,147
Ron Paul - 601,427
Herman Cain - 398,006
Newt Gingrich - 190,607
Michele Bachmann - 272,536
Rick Perry -171,611


CAIN drop out.

12/4/2011


Mitt Romney - 1,205,182
Ron Paul - 608,683
Herman Cain - 397,384
Newt Gingrich - 202,124
Michele Bachmann (4prez) - 458,952; Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 272,429
Rick Perry -171,470



12/7/2011


Mitt Romney - 1,208,752 up net gain 3570
Ron Paul -613,709 up net gain 5026
Herman Cain - 395,256 down net loss 2128
Newt Gingrich - 206,700 up net gain 4,576
Michele Bachmann (4prez) - 458,946; down net loss 6
Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 272,388; down net loss 41
Rick Perry -171,472 up; net gain 2

12/7/2011 1:09:24 PM

synapse
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Quote :
"Be thoughtful/humorous - Hundreds of people browse the message board each day. Before you post something, think to yourself, "would the majority of the users want to read this?". If the answer is "no", then don't post it."

12/7/2011 1:15:40 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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11/28/2011

Mitt Romney - 1,197,147
Ron Paul - 601,427
Herman Cain - 398,006
Newt Gingrich - 190,607
Michele Bachmann - 272,536
Rick Perry -171,611


CAIN drop out.

12/4/2011


Mitt Romney - 1,205,182
Ron Paul - 608,683
Herman Cain - 397,384
Newt Gingrich - 202,124
Michele Bachmann (4prez) - 458,952; Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 272,429
Rick Perry -171,470



12/7/2011


Mitt Romney - 1,208,752
Ron Paul -613,709
Herman Cain - 395,256
Newt Gingrich - 206,700
Michele Bachmann (4prez) - 458,946
Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 272,388
Rick Perry -171,472 up


2/11/2012


Barack Obama - 25,134,819
Mitt Romney - 1,468,126
Ron Paul - 852,639
Herman Cain - 377,932
Newt Gingrich - 278,934
Michele Bachmann (4prez) -457,319
Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 269,951
Rick Perry -180,779
Rick Santorum - 125,861



[Edited on February 11, 2012 at 10:17 PM. Reason : .]

2/11/2012 10:15:49 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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11/28/2011

Mitt Romney - 1,197,147
Ron Paul - 601,427
Herman Cain - 398,006
Newt Gingrich - 190,607
Michele Bachmann - 272,536
Rick Perry -171,611


CAIN drop out.

12/4/2011


Mitt Romney - 1,205,182
Ron Paul - 608,683
Herman Cain - 397,384
Newt Gingrich - 202,124
Michele Bachmann (4prez) - 458,952; Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 272,429
Rick Perry -171,470



12/7/2011


Mitt Romney - 1,208,752
Ron Paul -613,709
Herman Cain - 395,256
Newt Gingrich - 206,700
Michele Bachmann (4prez) - 458,946
Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 272,388
Rick Perry -171,472 up


2/11/2012


Barack Obama - 25,134,819
Mitt Romney - 1,468,126
Ron Paul - 852,639
Herman Cain - 377,932
Newt Gingrich - 278,934
Michele Bachmann (4prez) -457,319
Michele Bachmann(gov't) - 269,951
Rick Perry -180,779
Rick Santorum - 125,861



3/10/2012


Mitt Romney: 1,522,033
Ron Paul: 902,980
Rick Santorum: 173,538
Newt Gingrich: 294,691


3/12/2012

Barack Obama: 25,529,666
Mitt Romney: 1,525,011
Ron Paul: 905,040
Rick Santorum: 174,662
Newt Gingrich: 295,340

3/12/2012 3:28:14 AM

Str8Foolish
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Given the age demographics of his supporters, I'd think Paul would be totally blowing Mitt out of the water on facebook.

3/12/2012 9:25:41 AM

pack_bryan
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oh cool so....
age demographics of his(ron paul) supporters = exact demographic proportionally to facebook

didn't know that.

3/12/2012 11:35:11 AM

Str8Foolish
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Paul's age demos (note: 2008 campaign):



Facebook demos (2011):


Unless 13-17 year olds are lovin Mitt, Paul should be killing.

[Edited on March 12, 2012 at 11:47 AM. Reason : .]

3/12/2012 11:47:09 AM

pack_bryan
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lolololololololololololololol did you even look at your charts????


wow. i'm just gonna let you figure this one out.... holy shit. lol


[Edited on March 12, 2012 at 12:10 PM. Reason : -]

3/12/2012 12:06:04 PM

Str8Foolish
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Oh wait, nevermind, newer data from Gallup



Romney does indeed beat Paul amongst 18-34 year olds, as does Gingrich, so these facebook results aren't as surprising as I thought.

[Edited on March 12, 2012 at 12:30 PM. Reason : .]

3/12/2012 12:30:26 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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december 1-5, 2011?

gallop poll?

mainstream media?


What did mainstream media have to say about Virgin Islands popular vote? Nothing? Oh that's interesting.

I thought they liked calling races before they're ended, but this one is an exception. Why is that?

3/12/2012 1:55:40 PM

HOOPS MALONE
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So what sources do you have other than facebook that you're not talking out your ass here?

Or that there really is a conspiracy against Pron Haul?

3/12/2012 2:14:30 PM

pack_bryan
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holy shit what a fucking dumb human being.

i feel sorry for str8foolish. let me know buddy if you need some help.

3/12/2012 2:22:16 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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You have to watch carefully, everything is time sensitive.



Yesterday I posted the election results from the virgin islands in a post :
http://www.thewolfweb.com/message_topic.aspx?topic=563131&page=32

Source:
http://www.vigop.com



Today, the website removed the popular vote numbers. They rearranged the delegate listing. Now, the website matches the CNN delegate count (I posted a screenshot in the same thread linked above)

Two days later, cnn still doesn't have the popular vote on the website
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/vi


I also posted an article by the AP news, mainstream media and it reported:
"Chairman Herb Schoenbohm says Romney can count on seven delegates from the Virgin Islands. He already had three superdelegates before Saturday's caucuses and he picked up three more in voting in St. Thomas and St. Croix. After the vote, an uncommitted delegate switched to Romney."

That, too, is timestamped in the thread.

[Edited on March 12, 2012 at 2:42 PM. Reason : .]

3/12/2012 2:32:24 PM

pack_bryan
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omg they don't have guams votes either

CONSPIRACY THEORY UNVEILED

3/12/2012 2:41:36 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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Pretty sure I posted a little more evidence than just CNN not having the numbers.

3/12/2012 2:45:21 PM

Str8Foolish
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CNN doesn't have the popular votes for any of the March 10th caucuses, including also Guam and the North Marianas. Did Paul win those too?

3/12/2012 2:56:43 PM

pack_bryan
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well of course he did. it's obvious the only reason they aren't on their public website is because they are purposefully hiding this conspiracy.

3/12/2012 2:59:01 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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Quote :
"CNN doesn't have the popular votes for any of the March 10th caucuses, including also Guam and the North Marianas. Did Paul win those too?"



The difference between guam and virgin islands is this: we, the public, know the results of the virgin island popular vote, we don't know the popular results from guam. Therefore we/I cannot speculate about guam.

3/12/2012 3:03:43 PM

Str8Foolish
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The popular vote is right here: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/VI-R

And reported by numerous MSM outlets:

http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/03/11/the_virgin_islands_caucuses_how_ron_paul_lost_by_getting_more_votes.html

http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/312827/20120312/ron-paul-wins-popular-vote-virgin-islands.htm

http://video.msnbc.msn.com/msnbc-tv/46698321/#46698321

http://dailycaller.com/2012/03/12/ron-paul-quietly-wins-first-popular-vote-victory/

http://www.examiner.com/international-politics-in-canada/ron-paul-wins-the-popular-vote-mitt-romney-gets-delegates-usvi-caucus

http://www.indecisionforever.com/blog/2012/03/12/ron-paul-wins-virgin-islands-popular-vote

Maybe the reason CNN isn't reporting them has something to do with why it isn't reporting the Guam or Marianas votes. Maybe something like "Nobody gives a shit about those places so the guy they assigned to update the pages got moved to something important."


Quote :
"we don't know the popular results from guam. "


Yes we do.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/GU-R

We also know the Marianas votes: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MP-R#0310


[Edited on March 12, 2012 at 3:21 PM. Reason : .]

3/12/2012 3:13:31 PM

GeniuSxBoY
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Quote :
"CNN doesn't have the popular votes for any of the March 10th caucuses, including also Guam and the North Marianas. Did Paul win those too?"



The difference between guam and virgin islands is this: I know the results of the virgin island popular vote went to Ron Paul and is my main focus of concern. I don't know the popular results from guam. Therefore I cannot speculate about guam.


fixed that for me.

3/12/2012 3:24:57 PM

Str8Foolish
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Were the delegate assignments out of sync with the VI GOP's caucus rules?

http://vigop.com/gop-2012-convention-delegate-selection-process/

Not sure what your gripe is, except that CNN has yet to update its page regarding these three trivial island territories.

[Edited on March 12, 2012 at 3:35 PM. Reason : .]

3/12/2012 3:34:46 PM

HOOPS MALONE
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They've had to fix the final tallies in Iowa and Main so far due to the sloppiness of the local parties in reporting things.

Could it be that a small territory that gets little coverage in any media in the first place could do the same thing?

3/12/2012 3:38:22 PM

JesusHChrist
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why the hell are they even allowed to vote in the primaries if they can't vote in the general election?

what kind of okie-doke democracy is that?

3/12/2012 3:42:42 PM

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